Central banks adapt to higher-for-longer US rates | Dollar's strength causes problems for currency markets | Strong yuan threatens China recovery
19 April 2024
GFMA SmartBrief
News on the global financial marketsSIGN UP ⋅   SHARE
ADVERTISEMENT
Morning Bell
Policymakers worldwide say they are setting their interest rates independently of the Federal Reserve, but local conditions are being affected by the likelihood the Fed will keep rates higher for longer. This has boosted the dollar, which has influenced other currencies and raised the prospect of currency intervention in some Asian countries, and has affected some Latin American central banks' plans.
Full Story: Reuters (19 Apr.) 
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
Nasdaq's new global carbon report demonstrates that 66% of strategic decision makers believe registries are the driving force for change in carbon markets. Find out how investors, projects owners and other industries can get involved in scaling carbon markets. Access the report.
ADVERTISEMENT:
Industry News
The dollar has climbed by around 9% against the yen this year, and the move has affected global markets. Funds who had bet on the yen have faced losses, and exchange-traded funds that allow US investors to buy Japanese stocks have also suffered. A weaker yen could also deal to trouble in the US Treasury market, as they have become pricier to Japanese investors, and Japan is the biggest foreign holder of Treasury bonds.
Full Story: The Wall Street Journal (19 Apr.) 
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
The CFETS RMB Index, which tracks the yuan's performance against 24 peers, has risen 2.7% since December and climbed to its highest level in a year this week. The currency's strength is complicating China's recovery and could limit the competitiveness of its exports as other Asian currencies depreciate.
Full Story: Bloomberg (19 Apr.) 
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
Investors are steering clear of French government debt as the country's public finances worsen. France's budget deficit came in over target at 5.5% in 2023 and the government has hiked its deficit target to 5.1% from 4.4% for 2024. "We're heavily underweight French bonds," said David Zahn, head of European fixed income at Franklin Templeton. "It's really the fiscal situation that concerns us."
Full Story: Reuters (19 Apr.) 
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
Investors are quickly shifting from risk assets as concerns over conflict in the Middle East rise, said Stephen Dainton, head of investment bank management at Barclays. This "flight to safety" will continue, Dainton added. "They are defaulting to safety," Dainton said. "You will see a continuation of that evolving during the course of the next four or five weeks as more details come out as to what's actually happened today."
Full Story: Bloomberg (19 Apr.) 
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
A group of funds has built up a large short position in the Treasury market, and could destabilize the financial system during turbulent times, the International Monetary Fund has said. The funds "may have become systemically important to the Treasury and repo markets, and stresses they face could affect the broader financial system" as they "account for most of the short positions in Treasury futures," the IMF said in a report.
Full Story: Bloomberg (18 Apr.) 
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
Consumer prices in Japan increased 2.7% in March from a year earlier, a slight decrease from the 2.8% rise in February. Inflation could grow at a faster pace over the next few months if the government ends its utility subsidies at the end of May as planned. Rising inflation could lead to further tightening by the Bank of Japan, which ended negative interest rates in March.
Full Story: The Wall Street Journal (18 Apr.) 
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
Consumer confidence in the UK was 6.5 percentage points higher in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the same period last year, its highest level in two years, driven by an improvement in household disposable income, a Deloitte survey showed. The biggest quarterly improvement in sentiment came from those aged 25 to 34. Consumers added they were less confident in their job security than they were at the beginning of the year.
Full Story: City A.M. (London) (19 Apr.) 
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
Regulatory Roundup
China is embarking on a capital market reform plan aimed at ending speculative boom-and-bust trading. The Nine-Point Guideline includes measures aimed at encouraging dividend payments, improving new stock offerings and closing corporate governance loopholes. Investors hope the plan will help boost the country's struggling stock market.
Full Story: Bloomberg (18 Apr.) 
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
Spotlight on China
China's fiscal stimulus is not proving as effective as it has previously, said S&P Global Ratings senior analyst Yunbang Xu in a report, adding it is instead a "buy-time strategy that could have some longer-term benefits, if projects are focused on reviving consumption or industrial upgrades that increase value-add." "Given fiscal constraints and diminishing effectiveness, we expect local governments will focus on reducing red tape and taking other measures to improve business environments and support long-term growth and living standards," Xu said.
Full Story: CNBC (19 Apr.) 
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
GFMA News
AFME's Operations, Post-Trade, Technology and Innovation Conference (OPTIC) is returning to the UK on 2-3 October 2024! The conference will take place in London, with a two-day agenda packed with keynote addresses from regulatory authorities, thought-provoking panels and speeches from Europe's leading financial institutions, and ample networking opportunities for attendees. Secure your place today and enjoy early-bird savings.
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
LEARN MORE ABOUT GFMA:
GFMA | AFME | ASIFMA | SIFMA
Who Said It?

I didn't get there by wishing for it or hoping for it or dreaming about it. ... I got there by working for it.
Estee Lauder or Roberto Cavalli

Check your answer here.
LinkedIn X Facebook Email
SmartBrief publishes more than 200 free industry newsletters - Browse our portfolio
Sign Up  |    Update Profile  |    Advertise with SmartBrief
Unsubscribe  |    Privacy policy
CONTACT US: FEEDBACK  |    ADVERTISE
SmartBrief Future
Copyright © 2024 SmartBrief. All Rights Reserved.
A division of Future US LLC
Full 7th Floor, 130 West 42nd Street, New York, NY, 10036.