Researchers at the University of California, Los Angeles, have created a model using records of human and avian influenza outbreaks to predict where on the planet the two types of influenza could mix, sharing genetic material and possibly sparking a pandemic. The model, which looked at the overlap in influenza outbreaks and swine populations, identifies coastal and central China and Egypt's Nile Delta area as some potential hot spots for new strains that may warrant special monitoring.

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